Trump's Scattershot Foreign Policy
by John Lawrence, November
Trump never had a foreign policy per se just a lot of disconnected impulses and hunches some of which might have borne fruit if there had been some coherent plan for following up. Take Kim Jong Un for instance. I think it was a good thing that he managed to have a personal relationship with him. But nothing came of it because there was no attempt to continue the relationship with any concrete plan. Trump's latest move is to withdraw more troops from Iraq and Afghanistan. But he should have gone ahead and withdrawn them all and ended those ongoing disasters once and for all. Instead he leaves a "token" force there. This is the US military establishment's basic problem; they want a token force in every country of the world. If Trump wanted to be consistent, he would have removed the 50,000 troops from Germany and the 30,000 troops from South Korea. There is no need to occupy all these countries - at great expense to American taxpayers, I might add - since the US has excellent intelligence of all kinds including satellite and human intelligence so that it knows what's happening anywhere in the world and can react almost instantaneously if the need be. A troop presence is unnecessary. Remember the drones?
Trump made a point that NATO - meaning basically Germany - was not paying its fair share. They should have been paying more and doing more to defend themselves and not relying so much on the US. So far, so good. He did get Germany to increase its defense budget, but then he turns around and increases the US defense budget instead of reducing it commensurately. Plus he could have withdrawn the 50,000 US troops from Germany saving a ton of money. Trump's inconsistency is the hallmark of his foreign policy since to call it even a policy is a stretch. A policy connotes some kind of intelligent forethought and planning neither of which were in Trump's skill set.
As far as becoming friends with Vladimir Putin, I think this was a good thing. It is better to have warm personal relationships with the leaders of countries with whom we have potentially tense or adversarial relationships. It is important also not to let those leaders take advantage of or manipulate the US by means of these relationships. It's not clear if this was what was happening. Trump started out with China on the same wavelength which was also a good thing until he decided that it was in his interests to blame China for the "China virus" and start another cold war with China. It is extremely important to have good relationships with Russia and China at this point because cooperation on global warming is essential. Also China is going to come out of the pandemic with the world's leading economy. America will be relegated to number 2. It was more or less tied before the pandemic, but China got the pandemic under control and reopened its economy several months ago.
Trump's attitude towards Iran is not constructive. He withdrew from the JCPOA, and is now contemplating evidently a strike on Iran which would be disastrous. Despite Trump's possible personal business interests in Russia and/or China which led him to be initially more friendly towards those countries, I still think that his detente with them was a positive thing. The Democratic leadership on the other hand seems intent on demonizing Vladimir Putin instead of working with him in a more friendly fashion. I suspect that a Biden administration will try to have a more constructive and positive relationship with China than the Trump relationship devolved into. The boneheaded attempts by Trump to compete with China by demonizing Tik Tok and Huawei will come to an end, I hope. Again the importance of cooperation with regard to global warming between the world's two largest economies cannot be overstated.
Trump's delight in selling billions of dollars worth of weapons to Saudi Arabia was just abhorrent. Fanning the flames of war because it's good for the economy is reprehensible. Let us hope that the Biden administration takes a more constructive approach to reducing the US' occupation forces in many countries of the world, reducing the US footprint, ending finally by means of a total troop withdrawal the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and working cooperatively with the major countries of the world with whom somewhat adversarial relationships have been developing unfortunately. Cooperation and diplomacy should be the watchwords as we try to repair the harm that that US military forces have inflicted in the Middle East and elsewhere putting more emphasis on constructively rebuilding those countries and resettling the millions of refugees that these wars have caused.
